Dominika 2-1 Antigua Ve Barbuda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.21
Over 2.5
61%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
4.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.01
6+ Goals
19%
9.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.01 — our 28% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.4pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dominika EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua Ve Barbuda EU Bookmakers 45%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dominika
2-1
AWAY Antigua Ve Barbuda
1.31 xG 1.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
183 Passes 294
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dominika vs Antigua Ve Barbuda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dominika edged past Antigua Ve Barbuda 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (42% / 17% / 41%) promised a tight game; Dominika found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dominika had 41% of the ball to Antigua Ve Barbuda's 59%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Dominika vs Antigua Ve Barbuda?

Dominika 2-1 Antigua Ve Barbuda in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dominika vs Antigua Ve Barbuda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dominika win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dominika 42%, draw 17%, Antigua Ve Barbuda 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dominika), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dominika) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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