CA Penarol vs Plaza Colonia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CA Penarol v Plaza Colonia — Team-Based Signals
CA Penarol vs Plaza Colonia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
1-2
HT 1-1
CA Penarol
URU
0-1
HT 0-1
Plaza Colonia
URU
0-1
HT 0-0
CA Penarol
URUK
CA Penarol 1-0 Plaza Colonia — Actual Match Statistics
CA Penarol squeezed past Plaza Colonia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, CA Penarol had 63% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 37%, shots finished 8-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CA Penarol and 0.50 for Plaza Colonia.
What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Plaza Colonia?
CA Penarol 1-0 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Plaza Colonia?
Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 70%, draw 18%, Plaza Colonia 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.