Cerro 0-1 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 7 Sep 2025

📅07/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.04/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.18
-13% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.06.2025 Cerro Cerro 2-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
18.03.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
28.09.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 3-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Cerro URU
14.07.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
24.03.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
30.11.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
0-1
AWAY Cerro Largo
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo squeezed past Cerro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Cerro Largo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cerro had 58% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 42%, shots finished 8-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 1.00 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Cerro Largo?

Cerro 0-1 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro 35%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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