Progreso vs Miramar Misiones Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v Miramar Misiones — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs Miramar Misiones Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Miramar Misiones
URU2
2-2
HT 1-2
Progreso
URU2
Progreso 3-2 Miramar Misiones — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso nicked a narrow win over Miramar Misiones 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Progreso as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Progreso had 46% of the ball to Miramar Misiones's 54%, shots finished 10-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 1.00 for Miramar Misiones.
What was the final score of Progreso vs Miramar Misiones?
Progreso 3-2 Miramar Misiones in the Uruguay - Premier League on 07/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs Miramar Misiones?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Progreso 42%, draw 25%, Miramar Misiones 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.