Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-1
Perth Glory
AVUS
2-0
HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners
AVUS
Perth Glory 0-1 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics
Central Coast Mariners squeezed past Perth Glory 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perth Glory had 56% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 44%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.20 to 1.15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perth Glory and 1.67 for Central Coast Mariners.
What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?
Perth Glory 0-1 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Central Coast Mariners?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 47%, draw 24%, Central Coast Mariners 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.