Adelaide United 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.48
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.97
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.1
X/1
17%
5.63
X/2
16%
6.96
X/X
8%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.35
2/2
9%
4.12
2/X
5%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +16%
1.92/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.69
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
23.0 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.38 xG 1.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
417 Passes 393
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 2-3 HT 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
02.11.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 3-4 HT 1-3 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
12.09.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 2-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUK
24.02.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-2 HT 0-2 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
15.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
29.08.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 5-1 HT 3-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United
2-0
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
1.47 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 8
395 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 36
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United got the better of Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Adelaide United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adelaide United had 53% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.47 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Adelaide United and 2.50 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Adelaide United 2-0 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 46%, draw 21%, Western Sydney Wanderers 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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