Aubagne 1-4 Le Puy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.54
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.27
6+ Goals
7%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
4.29
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
11%
5.83
X/2
11%
5.36
X/X
14%
4.09
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
12%
3.77
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.0pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Puy EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.54/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.19
+28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aubagne
1-4
AWAY Le Puy
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aubagne vs Le Puy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Puy swept aside Aubagne 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Le Puy found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aubagne had 48% of the ball to Le Puy's 52%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Aubagne vs Le Puy?

Aubagne 1-4 Le Puy in the France - National League 1 on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Le Puy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 39%, draw 30%, Le Puy 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aubagne), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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