Quevilly 0-3 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.54
Over 2.5
52%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.88
6+ Goals
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.29
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
14.8
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
12%
6.39
X/X
11%
3.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
32.0
2/2
15%
5.26
2/X
7%
15.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
61%
-12.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
39%
+12.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.22/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.56
-13% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
374 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2025 Quevilly Quevilly 1-2 HT 0-2 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
13.09.2024 Chateauroux Chateauroux 4-3 HT 1-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
02.02.2018 Quevilly Quevilly 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
08.09.2017 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-2 HT 2-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quevilly
0-3
AWAY Chateauroux
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chateauroux swept aside Quevilly 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Chateauroux made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Quevilly had 36% of the ball to Chateauroux's 64%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Quevilly and 2.50 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Chateauroux?

Quevilly 0-3 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 38%, draw 28%, Chateauroux 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Quevilly), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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