Versailles 1-1 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.17
6+ Goals
7%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 33% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.28
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.9
X/2
10%
6.39
X/X
9%
4.23
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.91
2/X
9%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Versailles EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.41/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.81
+9% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Versailles
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Valenciennes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.02.2025 Valenciennes Valenciennes 0-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
26.09.2024 Versailles Versailles 1-1 HT 1-0 Valenciennes Valenciennes FR3
POST-MATCH Versailles vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Versailles and Valenciennes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Versailles at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Versailles and 0.50 for Valenciennes.

What was the final score of Versailles vs Valenciennes?

Versailles 1-1 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Versailles vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Versailles win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Versailles 44%, draw 26%, Valenciennes 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Versailles), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Versailles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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