Villefranche 3-1 Stade Briochin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Nov 2025

📅07/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.28
6+ Goals
10%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.72
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
11%
5.3
X/2
11%
5.88
X/X
21%
4.08
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
15%
4.36
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.3pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villefranche EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Briochin EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.19/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.97
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villefranche
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stade Briochin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 5-1 HT 2-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
16.12.2022 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 1-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
18.03.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 1-3 HT 1-1 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
08.10.2021 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 0-0 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
10.05.2021 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 2-3 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
08.01.2021 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villefranche
3-1
AWAY Stade Briochin
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Villefranche vs Stade Briochin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villefranche saw off Stade Briochin 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Villefranche made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Villefranche had 51% of the ball to Stade Briochin's 49%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Villefranche and 1.17 for Stade Briochin.

What was the final score of Villefranche vs Stade Briochin?

Villefranche 3-1 Stade Briochin in the France - National League 1 on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villefranche vs Stade Briochin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villefranche win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Villefranche 34%, draw 33%, Stade Briochin 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villefranche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Villefranche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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