Bourg en Bresse 01 1-2 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 7 Nov 2025

Bourg en Bresse 01
1-2 HT 1-2
Dijon
📅07/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2025/2026

Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
3.75
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.91
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
4%
8.12
X/2
14%
4.32
X/X EV+ ✗
23%
4.19
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.63
2/X
6%
14.5
Value flag · X/X at 4.19 — our 23% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
24%
-7.2pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.9pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bourg en Bresse 01 v Dijon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 53%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.95/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.22
-18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Dijon
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
16.05.2025 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 HT 0-1 Dijon Dijon FR3
16.08.2024 Dijon Dijon 0-1 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
22.07.2017 Dijon Dijon 0-2 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 HAZ
15.01.2016 Dijon Dijon 3-0 HT 2-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
14.08.2015 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon squeezed past Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dijon as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bourg en Bresse 01 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.00 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon?

Bourg en Bresse 01 1-2 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 16%, draw 34%, Dijon 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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