Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.16
6+ Goals
8%
20.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 38% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.7pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.93/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.64
-21% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Dijon
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
16.08.2024 Dijon Dijon 0-1 HT 0-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR3
22.07.2017 Dijon Dijon 0-2 HT 0-1 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 HAZ
15.01.2016 Dijon Dijon 3-0 HT 2-0 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 FR2
14.08.2015 Bourg en Bresse 01 Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 HT 1-0 Dijon Dijon FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bourg en Bresse 01
2-1
AWAY Dijon
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourg en Bresse 01 edged past Dijon 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bourg en Bresse 01 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bourg en Bresse 01 had 46% of the ball to Dijon's 54%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bourg en Bresse 01 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bourg en Bresse 01 and 1.00 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon?

Bourg en Bresse 01 2-1 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourg en Bresse 01 vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dijon win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bourg en Bresse 01 35%, draw 28%, Dijon 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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