Nancy 1-1 Rouen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 May 2025

Nancy
1-1 HT 1-1
Rouen
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Nancy vs Rouen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.28
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 29% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-17.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.8pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nancy v Rouen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nancy EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Rouen EU Bookmakers 12%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.63/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-11% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / -12%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Nancy vs Rouen Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nancy
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Rouen
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.08.2024 Rouen Rouen 2-2 HT 2-1 Nancy Nancy FR3
19.04.2024 Rouen Rouen 2-3 HT 1-2 Nancy Nancy FR3
24.11.2023 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
28.02.2004 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR2
13.09.2003 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR2

Nancy 1-1 Rouen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nancy
1-1
AWAY Rouen
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nancy vs Rouen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy and Rouen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Nancy carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Nancy had 45% of the ball to Rouen's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nancy had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Nancy and 1.20 for Rouen.

What was the final score of Nancy vs Rouen?

Nancy 1-1 Rouen in the France - National League 1 on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nancy vs Rouen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nancy 57%, draw 23%, Rouen 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nancy), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nancy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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