Rouen 2-2 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Aug 2024

Rouen
2-2 HT 2-1
Nancy
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
France - National League 1 – 2024/2025

Rouen vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 25% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.17
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
4%
12.9
X/1
14%
4.95
X/2
11%
6.35
X/X
17%
4.48
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
18%
4.5
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rouen v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -9%
1.11/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.44
-15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Rouen vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Nancy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.04.2024 Rouen Rouen 2-3 HT 1-2 Nancy Nancy FR3
24.11.2023 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
28.02.2004 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR2
13.09.2003 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen and Nancy couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nancy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rouen and 1.75 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Nancy?

Rouen 2-2 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rouen 39%, draw 28%, Nancy 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rouen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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