Rouen 2-3 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Apr 2024

Rouen
2-3 HT 1-2
Nancy
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.46
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.87
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
19%
4.29
X/2
11%
6.91
X/X
13%
4.16
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
7%
5.58
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.10/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.41
-24% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rouen
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Nancy
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Nancy Nancy 1-0 HT 1-0 Rouen Rouen FR3
28.02.2004 Nancy Nancy 2-1 HT 0-0 Rouen Rouen FR2
13.09.2003 Rouen Rouen 1-1 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
2-3
AWAY Nancy
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy edged past Rouen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rouen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rouen had 53% of the ball to Nancy's 47%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nancy led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rouen and 1.33 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Nancy?

Rouen 2-3 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rouen 46%, draw 29%, Nancy 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rouen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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