Monts dOr Azergues 3-0 Marignane GCB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Apr 2024

Monts dOr Azergues
3-0 HT 3-0
Marignane GCB
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Monts dOr Azergues vs Marignane GCB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.94
6+ Goals
9%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
16%
3.97
X/2
9%
8.5
X/X
11%
4.63
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
14%
6.87
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
15.55
Value flag · 2/X at 15.55 — our 8% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monts dOr Azergues v Marignane GCB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monts dOr Azergues EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 25%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.36/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.89
+40% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.4

Monts dOr Azergues vs Marignane GCB Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monts dOr Azergues
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marignane GCB
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB 2-2 HT 1-1 Monts dOr Azergues Monts dOr Azergues FR3

Monts dOr Azergues 3-0 Marignane GCB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monts dOr Azergues
3-0
AWAY Marignane GCB
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Monts dOr Azergues vs Marignane GCB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monts dOr Azergues cruised past Marignane GCB 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monts dOr Azergues as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Monts dOr Azergues had 50% of the ball to Marignane GCB's 50%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Monts dOr Azergues vs Marignane GCB?

Monts dOr Azergues 3-0 Marignane GCB in the France - National League 1 on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monts dOr Azergues vs Marignane GCB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monts dOr Azergues win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Monts dOr Azergues 44%, draw 27%, Marignane GCB 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monts dOr Azergues), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monts dOr Azergues) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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