Avranches 1-0 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.97
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
8%
6.53
X/2
14%
4.6
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.04
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avranches EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.14/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.87
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avranches
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-2 HT 0-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
27.01.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-0 HT 1-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
19.08.2022 Avranches Avranches 1-2 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
14.01.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 3-0 HT 1-0 Avranches Avranches FR3
13.08.2021 Avranches Avranches 3-1 HT 2-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
02.10.2015 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-4 HT 0-2 Avranches Avranches FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avranches
1-0
AWAY Chateauroux
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Avranches vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avranches nicked a narrow win over Chateauroux 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chateauroux at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Avranches had 50% of the ball to Chateauroux's 50%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Avranches and 1.50 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Avranches vs Chateauroux?

Avranches 1-0 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avranches vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Avranches 29%, draw 30%, Chateauroux 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chateauroux), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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