Martigues vs Cholet Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Martigues v Cholet — Team-Based Signals
Martigues vs Cholet Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Martigues
FR3
2-0
HT 1-0
Martigues
FR3
2-1
HT 0-0
Cholet
FR3
Martigues 2-2 Cholet — Actual Match Statistics
Martigues and Cholet shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Martigues at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Martigues had 46% of the ball to Cholet's 54%, shots finished 14-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Martigues had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Martigues and 1.00 for Cholet.
What was the final score of Martigues vs Cholet?
Martigues 2-2 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Martigues vs Cholet?
Before kick-off our model rated a Martigues win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Martigues 55%, draw 19%, Cholet 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.