Le Mans FC 1-1 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Apr 2024

Le Mans FC
1-1 HT 1-1
Villefranche
📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - National League 1 – 2023/2024

Le Mans FC vs Villefranche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.91
Over 2.5
38%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
14%
4.37
X/2
10%
7.76
X/X
15%
4.87
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
16%
5.72
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.8pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Mans FC v Villefranche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.56/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.24
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Le Mans FC vs Villefranche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Villefranche
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.02.2024 Villefranche Villefranche 0-4 HT 0-3 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
24.11.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 2-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
19.05.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
13.01.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Villefranche Villefranche FR3
15.04.2022 Villefranche Villefranche 1-0 HT 1-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
19.11.2021 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Villefranche Villefranche FR3

Le Mans FC 1-1 Villefranche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
1-1
AWAY Villefranche
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC and Villefranche shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 60% of the ball to Villefranche's 40%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villefranche led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Le Mans FC and 1.17 for Villefranche.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Villefranche?

Le Mans FC 1-1 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 40%, draw 29%, Villefranche 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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