Red Star FC 93 0-2 Dijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.45
X/1
15%
3.84
X/2
7%
10.1
X/X
11%
5.27
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
7%
7.92
2/X
8%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dijon EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.81/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.99
+7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dijon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2023 Dijon Dijon 3-1 HT 2-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
06.05.2016 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 3-2 HT 2-1 Dijon Dijon FR2
18.12.2015 Dijon Dijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
0-2
AWAY Dijon
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Dijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon beat Red Star FC 93 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Red Star FC 93 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 63% of the ball to Dijon's 37%, shots finished 19-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 1.67 for Dijon.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Dijon?

Red Star FC 93 0-2 Dijon in the France - National League 1 on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Dijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 56%, draw 24%, Dijon 20%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Red Star FC 93) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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