Concarneau 2-0 Paris 13 Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 32% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
19%
4.54
X/2
15%
6.68
X/X
10%
4.18
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
9%
5.18
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concarneau EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.41/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/2.18
-2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Concarneau
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.04.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 3-0 HT 1-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
25.11.2022 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Concarneau
2-0
AWAY Paris 13 Atletico
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Concarneau vs Paris 13 Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concarneau saw off Paris 13 Atletico 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Concarneau as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Concarneau had 49% of the ball to Paris 13 Atletico's 51%, shots finished 4-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Concarneau had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Concarneau and 0.50 for Paris 13 Atletico.

What was the final score of Concarneau vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Concarneau 2-0 Paris 13 Atletico in the France - National League 1 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concarneau vs Paris 13 Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concarneau win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Concarneau 45%, draw 25%, Paris 13 Atletico 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concarneau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Concarneau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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