Valenciennes 1-0 Aubagne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
16%
4.0
X/2
7%
8.34
X/X
14%
4.1
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
10%
7.05
2/X
7%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubagne EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valenciennes
1-0
AWAY Aubagne
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Valenciennes vs Aubagne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valenciennes edged past Aubagne 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Valenciennes as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Valenciennes had 54% of the ball to Aubagne's 46%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Valenciennes vs Aubagne?

Valenciennes 1-0 Aubagne in the France - National League 1 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valenciennes vs Aubagne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valenciennes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Valenciennes 45%, draw 29%, Aubagne 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valenciennes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valenciennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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