Chateauroux 0-1 Boulogne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
17%
4.72
X/2
11%
6.13
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
4.74
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Boulogne EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.15/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.26
-13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chateauroux
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Boulogne
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.03.2022 Chateauroux Chateauroux 0-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR3
22.10.2021 Boulogne Boulogne 1-1 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR3
24.02.2012 Boulogne Boulogne 0-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
23.09.2011 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-1 HT 0-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
13.05.2011 Boulogne Boulogne 3-2 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
17.12.2010 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 1-0 Boulogne Boulogne FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chateauroux
0-1
AWAY Boulogne
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chateauroux vs Boulogne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boulogne nicked a narrow win over Chateauroux 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chateauroux at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chateauroux had 62% of the ball to Boulogne's 38%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chateauroux and 1.17 for Boulogne.

What was the final score of Chateauroux vs Boulogne?

Chateauroux 0-1 Boulogne in the France - National League 1 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chateauroux vs Boulogne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chateauroux win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chateauroux 41%, draw 26%, Boulogne 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chateauroux) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chateauroux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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