Sochaux 2-0 Quevilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.91
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.01
6+ Goals
9%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 32% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.36
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
9%
4.99
X/2
13%
6.08
X/X
13%
4.2
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.44
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Quevilly EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +35%
1.64/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.84
+26% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Quevilly
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.48 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
22.10.2022 Sochaux Sochaux 2-2 HT 0-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
02.04.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 0-2 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
23.10.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 1-1 HT 0-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
12.01.2018 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
04.08.2017 Quevilly Quevilly 1-1 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
2-0
AWAY Quevilly
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Quevilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux got the better of Quevilly 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Sochaux made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sochaux had 58% of the ball to Quevilly's 42%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sochaux and 0.83 for Quevilly.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Quevilly?

Sochaux 2-0 Quevilly in the France - National League 1 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Quevilly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 38%, draw 25%, Quevilly 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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