Nimes 1-2 Orleans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.7pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Orleans EU Bookmakers 36%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.38/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.15
+5% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Orleans
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.50 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
219 Passes 299
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Orleans Orleans 0-1 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR3
06.01.2024 Orleans Orleans 2-1 HT 1-1 Nimes Nimes FRK
24.11.2023 Nimes Nimes 2-3 HT 1-1 Orleans Orleans FR3
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Orleans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orleans squeezed past Nimes 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Orleans made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Orleans led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nimes and 1.67 for Orleans.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Orleans?

Nimes 1-2 Orleans in the France - National League 1 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Orleans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nimes 37%, draw 31%, Orleans 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nimes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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