Le Mans FC 2-0 Versailles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.28
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 29% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.1pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Versailles EU Bookmakers 16%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.15/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/2.21
+21% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +149% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Mans FC
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Versailles
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2024 Versailles Versailles 1-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
09.02.2024 Versailles Versailles 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
01.09.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
20.03.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Versailles Versailles FR3
12.10.2022 Versailles Versailles 2-1 HT 2-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Mans FC
2-0
AWAY Versailles
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Le Mans FC vs Versailles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Mans FC got the better of Versailles 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Le Mans FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Le Mans FC had 55% of the ball to Versailles's 45%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Versailles led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Le Mans FC and 0.60 for Versailles.

What was the final score of Le Mans FC vs Versailles?

Le Mans FC 2-0 Versailles in the France - National League 1 on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Mans FC vs Versailles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Mans FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Le Mans FC 55%, draw 23%, Versailles 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Mans FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Mans FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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