16/05/2025
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Aubagne vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25
— our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
34%
Draw
26%
28%
Away Win
30%
61%
Under 2.5
49%
39%
Over 2.5
51%
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
54%
BTTS No
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aubagne v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Aubagne
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Valenciennes
EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-1% /
-1%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.74/0.83
-28%
/
+2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
+51%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
373 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
315 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.6
Aubagne vs Valenciennes Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Aubagne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Valenciennes
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
46%
Ball Possession
54%
12
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
0
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Aubagne vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Valenciennes cruised past Aubagne 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 28%) promised a tight game; Valenciennes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Aubagne vs Valenciennes?
Aubagne 0-3 Valenciennes in the France - National League 1 on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aubagne vs Valenciennes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aubagne 38%, draw 34%, Valenciennes 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Aubagne), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Aubagne)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FR3
More France - National League 1
16 May 2025