Paris 13 Atletico 2-1 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.75
Over 2.5
40%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.8
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 29% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris 13 Atletico EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 21%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +26%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.37
+121% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Concarneau
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.08.2024 Concarneau Concarneau 2-0 HT 1-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
14.04.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 3-0 HT 1-0 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico FR3
25.11.2022 Paris 13 Atletico Paris 13 Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Concarneau Concarneau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris 13 Atletico
2-1
AWAY Concarneau
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paris 13 Atletico vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris 13 Atletico nicked a narrow win over Concarneau 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paris 13 Atletico as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris 13 Atletico had 52% of the ball to Concarneau's 48%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Concarneau led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Paris 13 Atletico and 2.00 for Concarneau.

What was the final score of Paris 13 Atletico vs Concarneau?

Paris 13 Atletico 2-1 Concarneau in the France - National League 1 on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris 13 Atletico vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris 13 Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Paris 13 Atletico 51%, draw 28%, Concarneau 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris 13 Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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