Quevilly 1-0 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quevilly EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.25/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.30
-10% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quevilly
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sochaux
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.72 xG 1.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 426
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Sochaux Sochaux 2-0 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR3
18.02.2023 Quevilly Quevilly 0-0 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
22.10.2022 Sochaux Sochaux 2-2 HT 0-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
02.04.2022 Quevilly Quevilly 0-2 HT 0-1 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
23.10.2021 Sochaux Sochaux 1-1 HT 0-1 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
12.01.2018 Sochaux Sochaux 0-1 HT 0-0 Quevilly Quevilly FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quevilly
1-0
AWAY Sochaux
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Quevilly vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quevilly edged past Sochaux 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Quevilly as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Quevilly had 42% of the ball to Sochaux's 58%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sochaux led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Quevilly and 1.17 for Sochaux.

What was the final score of Quevilly vs Sochaux?

Quevilly 1-0 Sochaux in the France - National League 1 on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 44%, draw 28%, Sochaux 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quevilly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quevilly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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