The New Saints vs Cardiff MU Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
The New Saints v Cardiff MU — Team-Based Signals
The New Saints vs Cardiff MU Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
The New Saints 2-3 Cardiff MU — Actual Match Statistics
Cardiff MU nicked a narrow win over The New Saints 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had The New Saints at 87% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, The New Saints had 78% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 22%, shots finished 19-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for The New Saints and 0.50 for Cardiff MU.
What was the final score of The New Saints vs Cardiff MU?
The New Saints 2-3 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 07/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Cardiff MU?
Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 87%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 87%, draw 9%, Cardiff MU 4%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No went the other way.