Cardiff MU 1-3 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 19 Sep 2025

📅19/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
7.95
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
72%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.51
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.65
6+ Goals
11%
7.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
15%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
33%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
10%
+3.5pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.4pp
72%
Away Win
74%
-2.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 79%
+16% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -23%
0.84/3.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/0.67
+6% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +36%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
169 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
0W-0D-6L
AWAY The New Saints
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-6 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.02.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
14.01.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-2 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.11.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-3 HT 1-2 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
12.10.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 3-0 HT 2-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
13.04.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-5 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
1-3
AWAY The New Saints
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints saw off Cardiff MU 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cardiff MU had 26% of the ball to The New Saints's 74%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cardiff MU and 3.67 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Cardiff MU 1-3 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 19/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 13%, draw 15%, The New Saints 72%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5
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