ACR Messina 0-3 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.54
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
1.35/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.53
+12% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
228 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-3 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
19.11.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
02.04.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
30.11.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
12.02.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
03.10.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-1 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
0-3
AWAY Foggia Calcio
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio ran out comfortable winners over ACR Messina 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Foggia Calcio made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACR Messina had 56% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 44%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for ACR Messina and 1.83 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio?

ACR Messina 0-3 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 38%, draw 30%, Foggia Calcio 32%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ACR Messina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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