SPAL 0-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.45
6+ Goals
9%
23.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.53/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.21
+19% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.01.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 1-0 SPAL SPAL İTC
02.09.2023 SPAL SPAL 1-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
0-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro edged past SPAL 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Vis Pesaro made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SPAL had 47% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 53%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, SPAL had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SPAL and 0.50 for Vis Pesaro.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Vis Pesaro?

SPAL 0-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SPAL 38%, draw 30%, Vis Pesaro 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SPAL)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
7 Dec 2024
17:00 Athletic Carpi vs Sassari Torres Analysis →
17:00 Virtus Verona vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
17:00 Lumezzane vs Pro Patria Analysis →
17:00 Rimini vs Pontedera Analysis →
17:00 Pianese vs Ternana Analysis →
17:00 Rossoblu Potenza vs US Latina Analysis →