Vis Pesaro 1-1 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.85
6+ Goals
8%
42.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+8.4pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
40%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.77/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.21
-30% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY SPAL
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 SPAL SPAL 1-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
1-1
AWAY SPAL
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro and SPAL shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 37% of the ball to SPAL's 63%, shots finished 7-20.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs SPAL?

Vis Pesaro 1-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 38%, draw 30%, SPAL 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vis Pesaro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
6 Jan 2024
16:00 Novara vs Alessandria Analysis →
16:00 GIANA Erminio vs Pro Patria Analysis →
16:00 Virtus Verona vs Atalanta II Analysis →
16:00 Picerno vs Virtus Francavilla Analysis →
16:00 AlbinoLeffe vs Vicenza Analysis →
16:00 SS Monopoli vs Casertana Analysis →