Celtic vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celtic v Hearts — Team-Based Signals
Celtic vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celtic 1-2 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts squeezed past Celtic 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Celtic at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Celtic had 72% of the ball to Hearts's 28%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.86 to 0.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Celtic.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Celtic and 1.00 for Hearts.
What was the final score of Celtic vs Hearts?
Celtic 1-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celtic vs Hearts?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Celtic 58%, draw 25%, Hearts 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celtic) went the other way.