Randers FC 1-2 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.2
1/2
7%
23.55
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
14%
7.36
X/2
10%
4.92
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
29%
2.79
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.36/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.05
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
17.9 Crosses 20.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
341 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-2 HT 1-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
11.05.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-3 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
17.04.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 3-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
28.02.2025 Randers FC Randers FC 1-1 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
28.09.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
30.10.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-1 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
1-2
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.77 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
391 Passes 407
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus edged past Randers FC 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Randers FC had 50% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 50%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.77 to 1.31 — the balance of chances actually favoured Randers FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Randers FC and 1.33 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus?

Randers FC 1-2 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 30%, draw 23%, AGF Aarhus 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5
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