Crewe Alexandra 0-3 Newport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.11
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
25%
3.4
6+
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.2
X/1
18%
3.89
X/2
5%
11.2
X/X
8%
5.39
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
13%
9.59
2/X
7%
18.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Crewe Alexandra The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Newport County The Market 20%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.64 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.82
0.96 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.57
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 68%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
26.4 Crosses 12.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Newport County
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 224
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Newport County Newport County 2-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
29.12.2023 Newport County Newport County 1-1 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
15.08.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 4-2 HT 1-1 Newport County Newport County İN2
08.05.2023 Newport County Newport County 2-2 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
02.12.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-2 HT 1-0 Newport County Newport County İN2
24.08.2019 Newport County Newport County 1-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0-3
AWAY Newport County
1.42 xG 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
350 Passes 192
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 21
42 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Newport County ran out comfortable winners over Crewe Alexandra 3-0 on the road. Half-time: 0-2.

A gentle 52% lean on Crewe Alexandra didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. Small consolation: at 1.53 (roughly 65%) the price was further off than we were.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, Crewe Alexandra had 62% of the ball to Newport County's 38%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.42 to 1.25.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.67 for Newport County.

Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County Result & Final Score

Crewe Alexandra 0-3 Newport County in the England - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 52%, draw 24%, Newport County 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
8 Feb 2025
15:30 Bradford City vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
15:30 Swindon Town vs Port Vale Analysis →
18:00 Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
18:00 Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United Analysis →
18:00 Barrow vs Gillingham Analysis →
18:00 Colchester vs Walsall Analysis →