Barrow 3-0 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
15%
5.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
16%
4.28
X/2
12%
7.51
X/X
17%
3.63
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
9%
6.68
2/X
5%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.20/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.20
-1% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
246 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 65%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.5 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Gillingham
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.19 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
212 Passes 306
64% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 2-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
13.04.2024 Gillingham Gillingham 3-0 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
05.03.2024 Barrow Barrow 2-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
01.04.2023 Barrow Barrow 2-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
22.10.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
3-0
AWAY Gillingham
2.12 xG 0.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
243 Passes 209
66% Pass Accuracy 60%
20 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow cruised past Gillingham 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barrow as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Barrow had 52% of the ball to Gillingham's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 2.12 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barrow and 1.40 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Gillingham?

Barrow 3-0 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Barrow 47%, draw 28%, Gillingham 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
8 Feb 2025
15:30 Bradford City vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
15:30 Swindon Town vs Port Vale Analysis →
18:00 Accrington Stanley vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
18:00 Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United Analysis →
18:00 Colchester vs Walsall Analysis →
18:00 Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →