Fleetwood Town 2-0 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 34% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.8
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
8%
4.53
X/2
8%
7.37
X/X
16%
4.13
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
18%
5.95
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.31/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.93
-29% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
270 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 67%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
16.5 Crosses 17.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fleetwood Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 0.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
268 Passes 250
67% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-2 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
29.03.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
03.10.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
04.03.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
16.08.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
12.02.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fleetwood Town
2-0
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.37 xG 0.47
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
149 Passes 256
55% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town got the better of Cheltenham Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Fleetwood Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Fleetwood Town had 41% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 59%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.37 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fleetwood Town and 0.83 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town?

Fleetwood Town 2-0 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fleetwood Town vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fleetwood Town 39%, draw 30%, Cheltenham Town 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fleetwood Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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