Cheltenham Town 0-2 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

Cheltenham Town
0-2
Fleetwood Town
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.16
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
15%
6.05
X/2
12%
5.11
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.28
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cheltenham Town v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.41/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.43
+5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
294 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.2 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.0

Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.00 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
241 Passes 278
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
03.10.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
04.03.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
16.08.2022 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
12.02.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
21.08.2021 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 3-2 HT 1-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1

Cheltenham Town 0-2 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
0-2
AWAY Fleetwood Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
288 Passes 240
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fleetwood Town saw off Cheltenham Town 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Fleetwood Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 54% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 46%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.00 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town?

Cheltenham Town 0-2 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 38%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cheltenham Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cheltenham Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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