Bromley 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.42
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.61
X/2
14%
4.96
X/X
13%
5.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.5
2/2
21%
2.97
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 8% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromley EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.26/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.26
+65% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 71%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.5 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromley
1-1
AWAY Milton Keynes Dons
0.75 xG 1.94
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
131 Passes 344
51% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bromley vs Milton Keynes Dons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromley and Milton Keynes Dons couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Milton Keynes Dons at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bromley had 38% of the ball to Milton Keynes Dons's 62%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.75 to 1.94.

What was the final score of Bromley vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Bromley 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons in the England - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromley vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milton Keynes Dons win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bromley 31%, draw 27%, Milton Keynes Dons 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milton Keynes Dons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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