Harrogate Town 2-1 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
5.75
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
8%
7.67
X/2
15%
4.31
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.57
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 53%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -31%
1.17/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.12
+6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
243 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 70%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
17.5 Crosses 22.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.84 xG 1.19
45% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
243 Passes 312
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
16.09.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
29.12.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
05.11.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town FAK
01.10.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
22.02.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-3 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
2-1
AWAY Bradford City
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
140 Passes 266
59% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town squeezed past Bradford City 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Harrogate Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 40% of the ball to Bradford City's 60%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Harrogate Town and 0.83 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Bradford City?

Harrogate Town 2-1 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 33%, draw 27%, Bradford City 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bradford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ BTTS Yes
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