Swindon Town vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swindon Town v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Swindon Town vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Swindon Town
İN2
2-1
HT 1-0
Port Vale
İN2
1-3
HT 1-2
Swindon Town
İN2
1-2
HT 0-1
Port Vale
İN2
3-0
HT 2-0
Port Vale
İN2
Swindon Town 3-3 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Swindon Town and Port Vale shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Swindon Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Swindon Town had 57% of the ball to Port Vale's 43%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.21 to 1.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Swindon Town and 1.17 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Port Vale?
Swindon Town 3-3 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 45%, draw 25%, Port Vale 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.