Celta Vigo 3-2 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 27% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
20%
4.91
X/2
8%
7.07
X/X
12%
4.47
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.17
2/X
10%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.30
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.4 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Betis
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 Passes 406
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 1-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
12.04.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 2-1 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
03.01.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-1 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
04.02.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 3-4 HT 2-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
02.10.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
20.03.2022 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo
3-2
AWAY Real Betis
2.26 xG 1.29
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
477 Passes 370
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo nicked a narrow win over Real Betis 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celta Vigo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Celta Vigo had 55% of the ball to Real Betis's 45%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.26 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.33 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

Celta Vigo 3-2 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo 46%, draw 27%, Real Betis 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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