Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-1
Real Madrid
İS1
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Madrid
İS1
Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics
Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, Real Madrid had 60% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 40%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 1.72 to 1.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Madrid and 2.17 for Atletico Madrid.
What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid?
Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 47%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 went the other way.