Las Palmas 1-2 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.18
1/2
7%
21.4
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
10%
10.55
X/2
12%
4.23
X/X
9%
5.71
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.01
2/X
8%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
19%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal EU Bookmakers 62%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -38%
1.31/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.36
-15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
22.2 Crosses 16.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Villarreal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 2.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
461 Passes 355
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 Villarreal Villarreal 3-1 HT 1-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
13.01.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 3-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
08.10.2023 Villarreal Villarreal 1-2 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
11.03.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-2 HT 0-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
22.10.2017 Villarreal Villarreal 4-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
17.03.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal Villarreal İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
1-2
AWAY Villarreal
1.44 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
389 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Villarreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal edged past Las Palmas 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Villarreal as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Las Palmas had 57% of the ball to Villarreal's 43%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Las Palmas.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Las Palmas and 1.67 for Villarreal.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Villarreal?

Las Palmas 1-2 Villarreal in the Spain - Primera Liga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Villarreal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Villarreal win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 25%, draw 23%, Villarreal 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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