Lugano 1-1 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.58
X/2
7%
8.12
X/X
20%
4.75
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
8%
6.16
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.58 — our 24% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.52/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.68
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
17.8 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.29 xG 0.71
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
502 Passes 225
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.07.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
13.04.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
31.01.2024 Lugano Lugano 0-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
22.10.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
29.04.2023 Lugano Lugano 5-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1-1
AWAY Grasshoppers
2.23 xG 0.79
73% Ball Possession 27%
25 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
639 Passes 194
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
39 Box Touches 6
36 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano and Grasshoppers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lugano had 73% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 27%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 2.23 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lugano and 0.83 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Grasshoppers?

Lugano 1-1 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lugano 46%, draw 31%, Grasshoppers 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Under 2.5
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