Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Stuttgart — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.56
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.3
X/1
12%
5.07
X/2
10%
7.84
X/X
11%
5.87
2/1
7%
20.45
2/2
12%
5.02
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 31%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
2.24/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.50
+34% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.0 Crosses 15.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stuttgart
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.58 xG 2.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
427 Passes 420
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Stuttgart Stuttgart 5-1 HT 2-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
06.04.2024 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
06.12.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-0 HT 0-0 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AFK
11.11.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 2-1 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
15.04.2023 Stuttgart Stuttgart 3-3 HT 0-2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund AL1
22.10.2022 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 5-0 HT 3-0 Stuttgart Stuttgart AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund
1-2
AWAY Stuttgart
1.36 xG 0.34
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
513 Passes 197
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund vs Stuttgart
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart nicked a narrow win over Borussia Dortmund 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Borussia Dortmund at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 68% of the ball to Stuttgart's 32%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.36 to 0.34 — on chances, Borussia Dortmund could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stuttgart led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 2.17 for Stuttgart.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Stuttgart?

Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Stuttgart in the Germany - Bundesliga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Stuttgart?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 46%, draw 25%, Stuttgart 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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