Hoffenheim 0-4 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 8 Feb 2025

Hoffenheim
0-4 HT 0-1
Union Berlin
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.17
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
12.1
X/1
17%
5.42
X/2
12%
6.58
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
12%
4.29
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -30%
1.79/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.41
+16% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.3 Crosses 20.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Union Berlin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
371 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-1 HT 2-0 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
17.02.2024 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
23.09.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-2 HT 0-2 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
20.05.2023 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim 4-2 HT 2-1 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL1
21.01.2023 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3-1 HT 0-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1
15.01.2022 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-1 HT 1-1 Hoffenheim Hoffenheim AL1

Hoffenheim 0-4 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
0-4
AWAY Union Berlin
1.09 xG 2.86
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
478 Passes 239
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 30
37 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin ran out comfortable winners over Hoffenheim 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 65% of the ball to Union Berlin's 35%, shots finished 16-22, expected goals 1.09 to 2.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.67 for Union Berlin.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin?

Hoffenheim 0-4 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 46%, draw 25%, Union Berlin 29%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Hoffenheim), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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