Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hoffenheim v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Hoffenheim
AL1
4-2
HT 2-1
Union Berlin
AL1
3-1
HT 0-1
Hoffenheim
AL1
2-1
HT 1-1
Hoffenheim
AL1
2-2
HT 2-1
Union Berlin
AL1
1-1
HT 1-1
Hoffenheim
AL1
Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
Union Berlin squeezed past Hoffenheim 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Hoffenheim at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Hoffenheim had 67% of the ball to Union Berlin's 33%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.04 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.67 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin?
Hoffenheim 0-1 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 45%, draw 25%, Union Berlin 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.